Order Flow Imbalance as a Short-Term Directional Signal

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Order flow imbalance measures the difference between aggressive buyers and sellers.

When imbalance persists:

  • momentum increases

  • pullbacks become shallow

  • continuation probability rises

When imbalance fails:

  • reversals become more likely

  • liquidity is consumed faster than replenished

This model is most effective in short timeframes where execution pressure dominates macro structure.